tennis · atp · starts 11-12 17:30 UTC

Holger Rune v Taylor Fritz

Scheduled

Pick Taylor Fritz · conviction 67.2% · fair price 1.49

Watch (US): none listed

Weakness and exposure

No proven weakness on either player.

opponent Holger Rune: Came off a three-setter; the opponent won the previous round in straight sets · +2.5 pts · no effect
our pick Taylor Fritz: The favourite when both are big servers (18%+ of their sets go to a tiebreak) · -0.4 pts · no effect
our pick Taylor Fritz: Wins 3+ points more of all games played than the opponent (dominance the win-loss record hides) · +0.5 pts · no effect
our pick Taylor Fritz: Won more of all their earlier meetings since 2020 (walkovers left out) · +1.6 pts · no effect
our pick Taylor Fritz: 8+ cm taller than the opponent (height as serve power) · -2.0 pts · no effect
our pick Taylor Fritz: Charted serve + return points won 4+ points higher (matches charted before 2026) · +0.4 pts · no effect

From the tennis lab, before the match.

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