Two paper managers compete on the same upcoming picks with the same knowledge: the stated chance, moved only by what is proven (the tennis v2 model while picks are priced by v1, or a calibration gap with z ≥ 1.96). A tennis position is priced only at Polymarket's chance for that side (vig removed, read-only, never an order) when the market holds $1000+ of liquidity: our own number is not a price to bet against. The other sports have no market feed here, so they are priced at the model's own fair price, where only a proven calibration gap is an edge. Each stakes a fraction of Kelly against that price; opens strictly before the start; never changes a position; and settles from the ledger's grade. Paper units, no real money: an edge priced against our own model is a knowledge gap, and only the market-priced ones say anything about beating a market. Since 2026-11-04 09:22 UTC.
Guardian leads · Guardian 98.07u · Hunter 96.05u
Rules: one-eighth Kelly; at most 1% a position, 10% open, 5% per sport; edge ≥ 1.5%; belief ≥ 62.0%; no warming-up pairings; both tennis models must agree; tennis only against a liquid market price; at most 2% open on one player or club.
| State | Start | Sport | Position | Price chance | Belief | Price | Edge | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| open | 11-12 19:00 UTC | tennis atp | Ugo Humbert v Lorenzo Musetti Lorenzo Musetti seasoned | 64.5% Polymarket | 66.8% gap 0.0 pts · n 9 | 1.55 | 3.6% | 0.81u |
| open | 11-12 17:30 UTC | tennis atp | Holger Rune v Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz seasoned | 64.5% Polymarket | 65.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 9 | 1.55 | 2.1% | 0.47u |
| open | 11-12 15:00 UTC | tennis wta | Andrea Lazaro Garcia v Elizabeth Mandlik Andrea Lazaro Garcia seasoned | 56.5% Polymarket | 63.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 9 | 1.77 | 11.7% | 0.98u |
| won +0.62u | 11-11 18:30 UTC | tennis atp | Holger Rune v Miomir Kecmanovic Holger Rune seasoned | 61.5% Polymarket | 68.4% gap 0.0 pts · n 7 | 1.63 | 11.2% | 0.99u |
| lost -0.99u | 11-11 16:30 UTC | tennis wta | Elizabeth Mandlik v Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti seasoned | 56.5% Polymarket | 62.0% gap 0.0 pts · n 7 | 1.77 | 9.7% | 0.99u |
| lost -0.95u | 11-11 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Julia Grabher v Irene Burillo Julia Grabher seasoned | 66.0% Polymarket | 69.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 5 | 1.52 | 5.9% | 0.95u |
| won +0.40u | 11-11 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Cameron Norrie v Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz seasoned | 70.5% Polymarket | 72.8% gap 0.0 pts · n 4 | 1.42 | 3.2% | 0.95u |
| won +0.08u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Carolina Alves v Laura Samson Laura Samson seasoned | 74.5% Polymarket | 76.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 4 | 1.34 | 3.2% | 0.22u |
| won +0.46u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Rebeka Masarova v Bianca Andreescu Bianca Andreescu seasoned | 64.5% Polymarket | 66.8% gap 0.0 pts · n 2 | 1.55 | 3.6% | 0.84u |
| void · returned | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Leolia Jeanjean v Jazmin Ortenzi Leolia Jeanjean seasoned | 58.5% Polymarket | 62.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 1 | 1.71 | 6.2% | 1.01u |
| won +0.03u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Andrea Lazaro Garcia v Katrina Scott Andrea Lazaro Garcia seasoned | 71.5% Polymarket | 72.6% gap 0.0 pts · n 3 | 1.40 | 1.5% | 0.09u |
| lost -0.57u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Leyre Romero Gormaz v Carole Monnet Leyre Romero Gormaz seasoned | 62.5% Polymarket | 64.2% gap 0.0 pts · n 1 | 1.60 | 2.7% | 0.57u |
| lost -0.91u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Linda Noskova v Coco Gauff Coco Gauff seasoned | 60.3% model | 63.2% v2 model | 1.66 | 4.8% | 0.91u |
| lost -1.00u | 11-09 16:30 UTC | tennis wta | Veronika Erjavec v Elizabeth Mandlik Veronika Erjavec seasoned | 56.5% Polymarket | 62.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 1 | 1.77 | 9.8% | 1.00u |
| won +0.58u | 11-09 15:00 UTC | tennis wta | Luisina Giovannini v Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria seasoned | 63.5% Polymarket | 70.0% gap 0.0 pts · n 3 | 1.57 | 10.3% | 1.00u |
| lost -0.43u | 11-09 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Miomir Kecmanovic v Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech seasoned | 65.5% Polymarket | 66.7% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.53 | 1.8% | 0.43u |
| won +0.63u | 11-09 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Cameron Norrie v James Duckworth Cameron Norrie seasoned | 61.5% Polymarket | 64.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.63 | 5.4% | 1.00u |
| won +0.45u | 11-08 20:30 UTC | soccer primeira-liga | Estrela Amadora v SL Benfica SL Benfica seasoned | 68.8% model | 73.2% gap +14.5 pts · n 43 | 1.45 | 6.3% | 1.00u |
| void · returned | 11-08 20:00 UTC | tennis wta | Linda Noskova v Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina seasoned | 60.0% model | 62.5% v2 model | 1.67 | 4.2% | 0.09u |
| won +0.31u | 11-08 14:00 UTC | tennis atp | Carlos Alcaraz v Ben Shelton Carlos Alcaraz seasoned | 76.5% Polymarket | 79.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 2 | 1.31 | 3.4% | 1.01u |
| lost -0.43u | 11-08 11:00 UTC | tennis atp | Borna Gojo v Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili seasoned | 64.5% Polymarket | 65.7% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.55 | 1.9% | 0.43u |
| lost -0.67u | 11-08 10:00 UTC | tennis wta | Sofya Lansere v Anna Blinkova Anna Blinkova seasoned | 72.5% Polymarket | 74.0% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.38 | 2.0% | 0.67u |
| lost -0.44u | 11-08 08:00 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Eala v Claire Liu Alexandra Eala seasoned | 68.5% Polymarket | 69.6% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.46 | 1.6% | 0.44u |
| won +0.23u | 11-07 16:00 UTC | tennis atp | Carlos Alcaraz v Casper Ruud Carlos Alcaraz seasoned | 81.5% Polymarket | 83.3% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.23 | 2.1% | 1.00u |
| won +0.31u | 11-07 13:30 UTC | tennis atp | Ben Shelton v Luca Van Assche Ben Shelton seasoned | 76.5% Polymarket | 80.5% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.31 | 5.2% | 1.00u |
| won +0.39u | 11-06 18:00 UTC | tennis atp | Carlos Alcaraz v Taylor Fritz Carlos Alcaraz seasoned | 72.0% Polymarket | 76.8% gap 0.0 pts · n 2 | 1.39 | 6.6% | 1.01u |
| won +0.35u | 11-06 12:00 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Eala v Antonia Ruzic Alexandra Eala seasoned | 74.5% Polymarket | 76.7% gap 0.0 pts · n 2 | 1.34 | 3.0% | 1.01u |
| lost -1.01u | 11-06 08:30 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Shubladze v Sorana Cirstea Sorana Cirstea seasoned | 69.0% Polymarket | 75.4% gap 0.0 pts · n 2 | 1.45 | 9.3% | 1.01u |
| lost -0.55u | 11-06 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Martyna Kubka v Sofya Lansere Martyna Kubka seasoned | 65.0% Polymarket | 66.5% gap +1.3 pts · n 54 | 1.54 | 2.4% | 0.55u |
| won +0.28u | 11-05 19:00 UTC | tennis wta | Bianca Andreescu v Luisina Giovannini Bianca Andreescu seasoned | 78.0% Polymarket | 80.0% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.28 | 2.5% | 1.01u |
| won +0.26u | 11-05 18:00 UTC | tennis atp | Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Berrettini Carlos Alcaraz seasoned | 79.5% Polymarket | 85.8% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.26 | 7.9% | 1.00u |
| won +0.22u | 11-05 10:30 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Eala v Tereza Valentova Alexandra Eala seasoned | 62.5% Polymarket | 63.6% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 1.60 | 1.8% | 0.37u |
| lost -0.55u | 11-05 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Luca Van Assche v Lorenzo Musetti Lorenzo Musetti seasoned | 72.0% Polymarket | 77.3% gap 0.0 pts · n 11 | 1.39 | 7.3% | 0.55u |
| won +0.20u | 11-05 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Arthur Rinderknech v Ben Shelton Ben Shelton seasoned | 72.0% Polymarket | 73.2% gap +7.4 pts · n 48 | 1.39 | 1.6% | 0.52u |
| won +0.46u | 11-05 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Li Zongyu v Anna Blinkova Anna Blinkova thin | 68.7% model | 73.2% v2 model | 1.46 | 6.6% | 1.00u |
| won +0.63u | 11-04 19:30 UTC | tennis atp | Tomas Machac v Arthur Fils Arthur Fils seasoned | 61.5% Polymarket | 66.3% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 1.63 | 7.8% | 1.00u |
| lost -1.00u | 11-04 11:30 UTC | tennis atp | Learner Tien v Luca Van Assche Learner Tien seasoned | 63.5% Polymarket | 67.4% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 1.57 | 6.1% | 1.00u |
| won +0.69u | 11-04 11:30 UTC | tennis atp | Daniel Merida v Tommy Paul Tommy Paul seasoned | 59.2% model | 63.6% v2 model | 1.69 | 7.4% | 1.00u |
| tennis | Linda Noskova v Jessica Pegula | 53.6% | 51.7% | belief 51.7% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | FC Bayern München v RB Leipzig | 67.3% | 72.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Hazem v Al Nassr | 68.7% | 73.6% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| tennis | Coco Gauff v Elena Rybakina | 50.3% | 50.8% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 40.8% | 40.8% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Blackpool v Leicester City | 41.1% | 41.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln | 52.2% | 52.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart | 50.5% | 50.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | 1. FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund | 61.9% | 61.9% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Sport-Club Freiburg | 53.1% | 53.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Levante UD v Athletic Club | 45.7% | 45.7% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Dundee United v Heart of Midlothian | 43.0% | 43.0% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Kholood v Al Khaleej | 43.9% | 43.9% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Abha v Al Shabab | 42.0% | 42.0% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Qadsiah v Al Fayha | 76.5% | 76.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Fateh v Al Riyadh | 41.2% | 41.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ittihad v Neom SC | 56.3% | 56.3% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Faisaly v Al Diriyah | 42.5% | 42.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ettifaq v Al Hilal | 62.1% | 62.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ahli v Al Taawoun | 71.2% | 71.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Exeter City v Cheltenham Town | 44.7% | 44.7% | belief 44.7% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Chelsea v Manchester City | 44.6% | 44.6% | belief 44.6% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool | 41.3% | 41.3% | belief 41.3% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Doncaster Rovers v Leyton Orient | 35.7% | 35.7% | belief 35.7% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Leicester City v Bradford City | 40.8% | 40.8% | belief 40.8% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Luton Town v Cambridge United | 48.1% | 48.1% | belief 48.1% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Peterborough United v Oxford United | 46.3% | 46.3% | belief 46.3% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle | 42.4% | 42.4% | belief 42.4% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Stevenage v Mansfield Town | 42.9% | 42.9% | belief 42.9% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
| soccer | Stockport County v Reading | 45.3% | 45.3% | belief 45.3% under this manager's 62.0% floor |
Rules: half Kelly; at most 4% a position, 35% open, 20% per sport; edge ≥ 4%; price ≥ 1.6; may back the other player of a tennis pick; tennis only against a liquid market price; at most 5% open on one player or club; at most 1% on a price of 3 or longer.
| State | Start | Sport | Position | Price chance | Belief | Price | Edge | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| open | 11-12 15:00 UTC | tennis wta | Andrea Lazaro Garcia v Elizabeth Mandlik Andrea Lazaro Garcia seasoned | 56.5% Polymarket | 63.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 9 | 1.77 | 11.7% | 3.84u |
| won +0.53u | 11-11 18:30 UTC | tennis atp | Holger Rune v Miomir Kecmanovic Holger Rune seasoned | 61.5% Polymarket | 68.4% gap 0.0 pts · n 7 | 1.63 | 11.2% | 0.85u |
| lost -2.90u | 11-11 15:00 UTC | tennis wta | Alice Tubello v Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria seasoned | 51.5% Polymarket | 54.5% gap 0.0 pts · n 4 | 1.94 | 5.8% | 2.90u |
| won +4.26u | 11-11 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Alejandro Tabilo v Lorenzo Sonego Alejandro Tabilo seasoned | 41.0% Polymarket | 49.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 4 | 2.44 | 21.7% | 2.96u |
| void · returned | 11-10 16:30 UTC | tennis wta | Leolia Jeanjean v Jazmin Ortenzi Leolia Jeanjean seasoned | 56.5% Polymarket | 61.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 3 | 1.77 | 8.2% | 3.75u |
| won +1.46u | 11-10 15:00 UTC | tennis wta | Julia Riera v Alice Tubello Alice Tubello seasoned | 52.0% Polymarket | 54.7% gap 0.0 pts · n 4 | 1.92 | 5.1% | 1.58u |
| lost -1.36u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis atp | Quentin Halys v Lorenzo Sonego Quentin Halys seasoned | 43.5% Polymarket | 52.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 3 | 2.30 | 21.6% | 1.36u |
| open | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Linda Noskova v Jessica Pegula Jessica Pegula seasoned | 53.6% model | 56.8% v2 model | 1.87 | 6.0% | 2.56u |
| open | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Karolina Muchova v Mirra Andreeva Mirra Andreeva seasoned | 51.3% model | 54.6% v2 model | 1.95 | 6.4% | 0.58u |
| won +3.40u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Karolina Muchova v Elina Svitolina Elina Svitolina against the live pick seasoned | 43.5% model | 46.6% v2 model | 2.30 | 7.1% | 2.62u |
| open | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Elina Svitolina v Aryna Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka seasoned | 54.8% model | 59.5% v2 model | 1.82 | 8.6% | 3.20u |
| lost -3.11u | 11-10 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Mirra Andreeva v Aryna Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka against the live pick seasoned | 47.0% model | 51.6% v2 model | 2.13 | 9.8% | 3.11u |
| won +4.70u | 11-09 20:00 UTC | tennis wta | Karolina Muchova v Aryna Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka against the live pick seasoned | 48.3% model | 56.2% v2 model | 2.07 | 16.4% | 4.39u |
| void · returned | 11-08 20:00 UTC | tennis wta | Linda Noskova v Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina seasoned | 50.5% Polymarket | 56.5% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 1.98 | 11.9% | 1.36u |
| won +0.32u | 11-07 14:00 UTC | tennis wta | Anastasia Zakharova v Magda Linette Magda Linette seasoned | 47.5% Polymarket | 51.6% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 2.11 | 8.6% | 0.29u |
| lost -1.26u | 11-07 12:30 UTC | tennis wta | Robin Montgomery v Janice Tjen Robin Montgomery seasoned | 39.5% Polymarket | 45.6% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 2.53 | 15.6% | 1.26u |
| won +0.21u | 11-07 08:00 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Eala v Maria Sakkari Alexandra Eala seasoned | 54.5% Polymarket | 57.9% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 1.83 | 6.2% | 0.25u |
| lost -1.57u | 11-06 14:30 UTC | tennis atp | Rinky Hijikata v Luca Van Assche Rinky Hijikata seasoned | 39.0% Polymarket | 48.4% gap 0.0 pts · n 1 | 2.56 | 24.1% | 1.57u |
| lost -0.31u | 11-06 14:00 UTC | tennis wta | Lucrezia Stefanini v Anastasia Zakharova Lucrezia Stefanini seasoned | 50.5% Polymarket | 54.1% gap 0.0 pts · n 3 | 1.98 | 7.2% | 0.31u |
| lost -0.39u | 11-05 18:30 UTC | tennis wta | Alice Tubello v Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean seasoned | 47.0% Polymarket | 52.5% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 2.13 | 11.8% | 0.39u |
| lost -1.96u | 11-05 17:00 UTC | tennis wta | Renata Zarazua v Julia Riera Renata Zarazua seasoned | 48.5% Polymarket | 51.2% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 2.06 | 5.6% | 1.96u |
| won +1.90u | 11-05 13:00 UTC | tennis atp | Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Rinky Hijikata Rinky Hijikata seasoned | 45.5% Polymarket | 50.4% gap 0.0 pts · n 0 | 2.20 | 10.8% | 1.58u |
| lost -3.20u | 11-05 12:00 UTC | tennis wta | Mary Stoiana v Sorana Cirstea Mary Stoiana against the live pick seasoned | 22.5% Polymarket | 27.7% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 4.44 | 23.1% | 3.20u |
| lost -0.49u | 11-05 06:00 UTC | tennis wta | Alexandra Shubladze v Elena Pridankina Elena Pridankina against the live pick seasoned | 34.5% Polymarket | 39.9% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 2.90 | 15.7% | 0.49u |
| lost -4.00u | 11-05 05:00 UTC | tennis wta | Zhibek Kulambayeva v Mai Hontama Zhibek Kulambayeva against the live pick seasoned | 20.5% Polymarket | 31.5% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 4.88 | 53.7% | 4.00u |
| lost -1.98u | 11-04 22:00 UTC | tennis wta | Bianca Andreescu v Jazmin Ortenzi Jazmin Ortenzi against the live pick seasoned | 17.0% Polymarket | 21.2% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 5.88 | 24.7% | 1.98u |
| lost -4.00u | 11-04 17:30 UTC | tennis wta | Renata Zarazua v Despina Papamichail Despina Papamichail against the live pick seasoned | 18.5% Polymarket | 26.7% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 5.41 | 44.1% | 4.00u |
| lost -3.88u | 11-04 14:30 UTC | tennis atp | Taylor Fritz v Alex Molcan Alex Molcan against the live pick seasoned | 19.5% Polymarket | 25.8% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 5.13 | 32.1% | 3.88u |
| won +13.70u | 11-04 13:00 UTC | tennis atp | Daniil Medvedev v Ignacio Buse Ignacio Buse against the live pick seasoned | 13.5% Polymarket | 17.2% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 7.41 | 27.4% | 2.14u |
| lost -4.00u | 11-04 11:00 UTC | tennis wta | Joanna Garland v Janice Tjen Joanna Garland seasoned | 30.5% Polymarket | 40.7% v2 model, half-trusted against the market | 3.28 | 33.4% | 4.00u |
| soccer | FC Bayern München v RB Leipzig | 67.3% | 72.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Hazem v Al Nassr | 68.7% | 73.6% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| tennis | Ugo Humbert v Lorenzo Musetti | 69.2% | 66.8% | price 1.55 too short for this manager |
| tennis | Holger Rune v Taylor Fritz | 67.2% | 66.3% | price 1.53 too short for this manager |
| tennis | Coco Gauff v Elena Rybakina | 50.3% | 50.8% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 40.8% | 40.8% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Blackpool v Leicester City | 41.1% | 41.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln | 52.2% | 52.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart | 50.5% | 50.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | 1. FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund | 61.9% | 61.9% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Sport-Club Freiburg | 53.1% | 53.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Levante UD v Athletic Club | 45.7% | 45.7% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Dundee United v Heart of Midlothian | 43.0% | 43.0% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Kholood v Al Khaleej | 43.9% | 43.9% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Abha v Al Shabab | 42.0% | 42.0% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Qadsiah v Al Fayha | 76.5% | 76.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Fateh v Al Riyadh | 41.2% | 41.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ittihad v Neom SC | 56.3% | 56.3% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Faisaly v Al Diriyah | 42.5% | 42.5% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ettifaq v Al Hilal | 62.1% | 62.1% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Al Ahli v Al Taawoun | 71.2% | 71.2% | started (or within 5 min): never positioned |
| soccer | Exeter City v Cheltenham Town | 44.7% | 44.7% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Chelsea v Manchester City | 44.6% | 44.6% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool | 41.3% | 41.3% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Doncaster Rovers v Leyton Orient | 35.7% | 35.7% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Leicester City v Bradford City | 40.8% | 40.8% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Luton Town v Cambridge United | 48.1% | 48.1% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Peterborough United v Oxford United | 46.3% | 46.3% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle | 42.4% | 42.4% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |
| soccer | Stevenage v Mansfield Town | 42.9% | 42.9% | unproven: this kind of pick ran 1.2 pts above its chance, z 0.67 on 736 |